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...For a better society...

Wednesday, August 04 2004

Vol 17 No.30

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  • Let us

    Let us ‘dollarise’ our economy

    AGAPTUS NWOZOR

    THE feelings which can riot in the veins of Nigerians, especially those outside the cosines of federal appointment, and which struggled for ascendancy during the celebration of the fifth anniversary of democracy were those of pain, sorrow, anger and frustration. All these emotional dispositions were, of course, incongruous to the happy event that democracy day represented. There were cacophony of voices, but all were in unity in the condemnation of the federal government in its re-enactment of the painful circus of fuel and allied products price increases. Of all times paradoxically, this coincided either accidentally or intentionally with the day Nigerians were supposedly celebrating the triumph of the people over the jackboot of military dictatorship. Whoever masterminded these latest increases must have a morbid sense of humour. These latest increases suggest the triumph of a clique over the helpless, impoverished masses. Expectedly the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) has lived up to its reputation as the bulwark of the people.

    As reactions to the fuel hike unfolded, I was intrigued by the reactions of Alliance for Democracy (AD), the Senate and the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) of the masses. There is a similarity in the position of all these groups — they demanded the reversal to status quo ante. My confusion is, which status quo ante? At each successive fuel price hike the war-cry of the NLC had been that government should revert to the old price. Since Obasanjo’s tenure in 1999 and since he started getting kicks out of fuel price hikes, never have the people through the NLC succeeded in making him revert completely to the status quo ante. And yet this is a democratic regime where opinions of the people should matter. The best the NLC had ever got was a compromise and that was before Obasanjo perfected his strategies. The rate of increases, not to talk of the magnitude or margin, is dizzying. Nobody knows which price is the status quo ante for sure. Different oil marketers (both "dependent" and "independent") before the latest increases sold at different prices ranging from N39.50-N43.00. And this is at the root of the confusion surrounding the looming imbroglio between the NLC and federal government as to which is the proper pump price before the last strike. Not even the court was enamourred of this confusion as it ruled that the price of fuel should revert to N38 per litre. But I do know that not even NNPC mega stations located in major Nigerian cities sold at that rate. And for other oil marketers, it was a different kettle of fish. Whichever one the NLC is insisting on — N38 or N42 per litre, the fact remains that the federal government set on its ways and as usual is insensitive to the plight of Nigerians. I guess we have not heard the last about fuel price hikes in the life of Obasanjo’s administration. We have created a Frankenstein monster and now we can no longer control him.

    The purpose of pooling our commonwealth together is to ensure the greatest good for the greatest number of people. But the greatest numbers of Nigerians right now are wallowing in poverty. I see no hope as Obasanjo delusively saw. With the way things are presently and their envisaged trajectory, Obasanjo’s second odyssey in governance is a misadventure. I am not persuaded by his confidence and unfounded self adulation that made him arrogantly score himself B+ in his assessment of his government. President Obasanjo’s economic experts are lying with their economic indices. More and more people are sliding down the ladder into abject poverty through a combination of deliberate federal government policies. It does not seem to me strange that Obasanjo’s economic experts are touting economic successes when in real terms inflation is on rampage and has eroded whatever little value that still remains in the purchasing power of Nigerians. Cheryl Payer in her book, Debt Trap, exposes the operations of the multilateral institutions. "They turn loose the trained economists who have already been indoctrinated on their native countries to occupy important positions in the Ministries of Finance and Trade and on Special Commissions for Economic Planning and Development. These co-called technocrats have been indoctrinated with the Western liberal ideology of development and tend to support IMF diagnoses and prescriptions. The Fund itself runs an institute for the training of Central Bank and Finance Ministry officials, and disperses its graduates, indoctrinated with the Fund ideology, throughout the Third World where they form an ‘old boy’ network of support for Fund principles.

    In case the NLC has not fully grasped the deep-rooted insensitivity of this government to cushion against its unpopular economic policies, it had better reviewed all the actions of the government since 1999. Apart from the incessant increment in fuel prices which all entreaties of Nigerians could not avert, Obasanjo in spite of wise counsel never fully implemented his budgets nor stayed at home fully to tackle Nigeria’s myriad of problems. Gani Fawehinmi (SAN) will have serious trouble updating and revising his booklet on Obasanjo’s overseas adventures for the booklet to retain its relevance.

    The way things are going, the only option for peace and progress is to dollarise our economy. Why should we continue to have a paper whose worth is tied to the dollar and which the dollar has made a toilet roll out of owing to its perennial devaluations? Why should we use this same paper when most official denominations of expenditure (imports, exports debt servicing etc) are calculated in dollars? It does not make sense to me. When it serves the parochial purpose of our elites they mersmerise us with cross border analysis in dollars but at other times they hoodwink us with analysis in naira. What makes sense to me is that our local currency is used as an instrument of the ruling class to maintain the pauperisation of the people. They borrow and stash away our money in dollars and play all sorts of economic abracabra with dollars to our collective detriment. The outcome of the latest NLC-championed strike can appropriately be termed ephermeral victory. The intervention of the judiciary could well be part of the grand plan by the federal government to outwit the rest of us. In the long-run, through the instrumentality of a court of higher jurisdiction, the court will reverse itself and as well reverse whatever victory we think we have achieved.

    There should be a new angle to the labour struggle. The NLC should agitate for the payment of Nigerian workers in dollars. If Nigeria earns her revenue in dollars, borrowed from both Paris and London clubs in dollars and service and pay amortisation in dollars, it is only logical that our economy be dollarised. The argument about sovereignty or patriotism or for that matter prestige, crumbles under the weight of our deep-necked indebtedness. After all, a debtor has no prestige; he jettisoned it the day he borrowed and became indebted. The international competitive prices should not only affect us negatively. It should also affect us positively. After the present fuel price war, we shall engage in another war — the dollarisation of Nigeria economy. Only then will peace reign and Nigeria become a fertile ground for FDI which Obasanjo’s uncountable foreign trips have not brought about.

    •Nwozor is of the department of political science, School of Postgraduate Studies, UNN.

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