Florida poll memories, suits, disturb voters
WITH the United States (U.S.) presidential elections just a week away, memories of Florida's contested 2000 presidential election and a growing number of pre-election lawsuits are making Americans sceptical about a voting process they once took for granted.
Six in 10 of those surveyed in an Associated Press poll say it is likely there will not be a clear winner in the presidential race by November 3 - the day after the election. About half say they fear the results will be challenged in court, according to the poll conducted for the Associated Press by Ipsos Public Affairs.
Both Democrats and Republicans worry about the possibility of an unresolved election - though Democrats express more worries. About seven in 10 Democratic voters, 69 per cent, say they think it is likely there would not be a clear winner by Election Day, while almost six in 10 Republican voters, 56 per cent, say they feel that way.
With both political parties putting thousands of lawyers on call for Election Day, a majority of both Democrats and Republicans - just over half of each - expect the election results will be challenged in court.
"I read the other day that there's going to be a perfect storm," Jack Martin, a businessman who lives near Salt Lake City, said of the growing number of lawsuits.
"I think it's coming down to the courts. It worries me about our election system. I used to think every vote counts."
Both parties already have filed lawsuits over a variety of complaints - from how provisional ballots are counted to alleged fraud in voter registration. Judges in several states have issued disparate rulings on provisional ballots, which are required under law for voters who show up at the polls only to find their names are not on the voter rolls.
The 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Cincinnati is expected to hear arguments this week on the use of provisional ballots in Michigan. It is unclear whether the court will rule before the election.
A majority say they are confident the vote count in their own state will be accurate. Fewer than half of Democrats say they are "very confident" their state's vote count will be accurate, while three-fourths of Republicans feel that way.
Lori McKay, 29, a Republican from St. Louis, said she thinks election officials will get things right this time.
"After all the problems last time, I'm thinking they will do a better job," she said.
In the closing days of the campaign, the national parties are keeping especially close tabs on Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Iowa and New Mexico, all presidential battleground states where a challenge to a close race might be lodged November 3.
Florida in 2000 turned into a political and legal ground zero over a Bush-Gore recount. After 36 days, the U.S. Supreme Court handed Bush a 537-vote victory in Florida and, thus, the presidency.
More than half in the poll, 54 per cent, say they think the vote count in Florida was not fair and accurate, with Republicans overwhelmingly saying it was and Democrats overwhelmingly saying it was not. Independents say by a two -to-one margin that it was not fair.
Pamela Martin, a 52-year-old Democrat from Miami, says she was "not too confident" that 2004 will be any better in Florida than the last time around. Martin, who is black, says she heard plenty of stories about blacks who had trouble voting the last time.
Worries about politics and legal challenges far outweigh worries about terrorist attacks intended to disrupt the elections, the poll found.
Just under one-third of those polled say they expect terrorists will attempt to disrupt elections.
Elections officials in many states are taking steps to improve security at polling places but are looking for ways to heighten readiness without posting armed police.
Almost half in the poll say having armed police at the polls would make them more inclined to vote, while about one in six say it would make them less inclined. Minority voters were more likely than whites to say armed police would make them less inclined to vote.
The AP-Ipsos poll of 1,000 adults, including 856 registered voters and 670 likely voters, was taken October 22-24 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for the full sample, slightly larger for subgroups like registered voters.
