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AD survival battle and convention of relevance

Wednesday 29, September 2004 HOME | back to previous page

AD survival battle and convention of relevance

By Felix Ofou, Group Politics Editor and Habib Aruna,

Assistant Politics Editor

 

Dr Hamed Kusamotu is no doubt a frontline politician who has had his time in the sun. The former chairman of the defunct National Republican Convention (NRC) is old and experienced enough to know quite well why the political terrain continues to be foggy and unpredictable.

Speaking recently at his Ikirun, Osun State country home to a horde of journalists who paid him a visit, Kusamotu could not hide his disdain for how politics in the nation has turned out to be. He expressed sadness with the failure of the political class to coalesce into two national political parties, which would be able to match each other in strength and influence.

He went down memory lane to narrate how, together with his political soul mate, Alhaji Umaru Shinkafi, they approached the late Chief Bola Ige and convinced him to join hands with them to form a strong party that would face the then emerging PDP. He said with the help of Ige, they were able to co-opt other progressive elements to come together under a platform.

Surprisingly, according to him, Ige and others were weighed down by criticisms that followed the press conference held at the Airport Hotels, where the likes of Chief Lamidi Adedibu; Senator Arthur Nzeribe sat side by side with Ige and Chief Ayo Adebanjo. Both camps had agreed to cooperate in the formation of the All Peoples Party (APP), but later chickened out because, according to some of them, they should not be seen with Nzeribe and Adedibu, who worked for the late Sani Abacha and against June 12 election.

“That was when we lost it,” laments Kusamotu. “A party is supposed to have people of different characters, it is now left for the leaders to harness these for the betterment of the society. Adedibu and Nzeribe have a lot of influence and support in their states.” It was not long after this that Ige and his group assembled in Abuja and decided to form another party, which they christened Alliance for Democracy (AD).

Since its formation in 1989, which many have described as shoddy, the party has not been new to controversy. Indeed, it has moved from one controversy and leadership crisis to another. The current one between Chief Bisi Akande, former governor of Osun State, and Senator Mojisoluwa Akinfenwa had its roots from the 2000 national convention, when the division metamorphosed into two major factions: The Alhaji Ahmed Abdulkadir faction, regarded as the mainstream and supported by Ige, and the Ambassador Yusuf Mamman-led pro-Afenifere faction. The seed of discord sown at that convention has continued to flourish to the detriment of hope and unity, which are supposed to be the bulwark of the party.

But barring any hitches, the party will again today be holding another convention, the third in its chequered history. Today’s convention, in the views of observers, might well be its last if not well managed and if the factions and their leaders stand their ground and refused to shift.

Forces against a united party

The convention is coming on the heels of crisis and clash of interests that has characterised the party in the past one-year and which, from all indications, is not about to recede. Many interests have been identified to be working against the coming together of the AD as a mainstream political party and its continued deterioration, in the politics of the Yoruba nation.

“The AD has found itself in the middle of the chess game of ambitious political gladiators,” says Kamal Badamasi, a public policy analyst. “The way things are presently, there are many interests competing for the destruction of the party because that is the surest route for influencing the minds of people in the region as the countdown to 2007 elections begins.”

But the crisis that is now about to consume the party actually started last year when the AD leadership could not agree to organise a convention, with the exit of its erstwhile Chairman, Alhaji Ahmed Abdulkadir, who was appointed a special adviser by President Olusegun Obasanjo.

Interestingly, Abdulkadir was variously accused for working against the party during the 2003 general elections. To the surprise of many, the former chairman had declared shortly after the elections won by Obasanjo of the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) that the results were satisfactory to the party, even when there was no forum where the matter was discussed.

Governor Bola Tinubu of Lagos State was in the forefront of those who faulted the perceived role Abdulkadir was said to have played, which to them was at variance with the interest and objectives of the party. Worse still, when Obasanjo was to receive the certificate of victory from the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), the former AD leader was among the coterie of politicians that witnessed the ceremony.

His presence thus validate the impression that, in the midst of protests by most of the parties, Abdulkadir had tacitly endorsed Obasanjo’s reelection for a second term. Trouble was to erupt when the former chairman, to the chagrin of members, accepted to serve under Obasanjo. Move to suspend him, however, failed as the Central Working Committee could not arrive at a decision.

A group led by Tinubu thus insisted on his expulsion and the setting up of a caretaker committee to run the affairs of the party, since they argued the leadership could no longer be trusted. But Abdulkadir’s supporters maintained that the appointment was based on the PDP/AD accord and that censuring the former leader would deny the AD more appointments in the future.

The opposing groups thus set the stage for the flexing of muscles. And sensing that he was going to be inauspiciously removed, to retain some leverage, Abdulkadir appointed his deputy, Chief Michael Koleoso, as the acting chairman. Koleoso’s emergence was seen as a deft move to neatly ease out the party leader without creating acrimony to both the party and himself.

How Akande became chairman

Few hours later, an emergency meeting was held in Lagos with all the former governors in attendance. The meeting culminated in the appointment of Akande as the acting chairman. Also, it disregarded the elevation of Koleoso, adding that: “Abdulkadir could no longer continue to act as the national chairman of the party, since he has ceased to be the chairman with effect from 22 July 2003.”

Though the Lagos version of the convention had many of the party leaders in attendance, it failed to secure the recognition of INEC, whose officials did not attend both conventions. The electoral body, however, advised the factions to sheathe their swords and work for the common interest of the party, failure of which it warned that the commission might be forced to wield the big stick.

Apart from Alhaji Lam Adesina, former governor of Oyo State, who was conspicuously absent, other former governors attended the Lagos convention with their supporters. But the Akinfenwa faction has insisted that they are the authentic leaders of the party, maintaining that the Lagos convention was a ploy by Tinubu to put the party under his firm control. Curiously, the senator has the backing of some notable leaders of the party who fell out with the governor after the April 2003 general elections.

“Our position is that Tinubu should leave the party for the members,” says Alhaji Mufutau Ajisebutu, an AD chieftain in Ikorodu. “You cannot control everything; he should concentrate on how to improve the welfare of the people of the state rather than engaging in the marginalisation of some of us who worked day and night to put the party on sound footing.” The AD leader argued that there is no way the Akande chairmanship would stand, since in his words, it falls short of the party’s constitution.

The Tinubu factor

But this is not the only fight Tinubu would have to contend with in his avowed mission to redeem the party and make it the most progressive in the country. He had also been at loggerheads with the leadership of Afenifere, many of who see him as becoming too abrasive and domineering. Before the 2003 elections, Tinubu was in the forefront of those calling for a wall of distinction between the party and Afenifere, the Pan-Yoruba socio-cultural group. The group had received more than enough knocks for putting the AD under its thump. Afenifere’s influence in the AD stemmed from its control of the South West, the only zone under the control of the party until the last elections when it lost five of the six states.

In fact, as was recently noted by a major actor of the Abdulsalami Abubakar transition, it was Afenifere’s hold on the South West that forced the transiting military regime to amend the party registration rules to accommodate the AD in 1998 as the third of the three parties allowed to field candidates for elections.

What role for the Afenifere?

Though affected by the turn of events, Afenifere has tried to intervene in a bid to resolve the AD crisis to no avail. After series of meetings with the combatants, the leaders surprisingly, at a meeting in Akure, endorsed the faction led by Akinfenwa saying he is the authentic leader that should be recognised by the people.

This was predictably met with criticisms by the Akande faction, which accused the leaders of acting beyond their mandate, which they argued was to find amicable solution and not to recognise any of the factions.  Besides, vexed by what they regarded as usurping what does not belong to them, the leaders were berated for acting in consonance with a written script written by a third party.

Their reservation was based on two areas: one, that Chief Olu Falae’s alleged involvement was to pave the way for his old pal, General Ibrahim Babangida, said to be in need of a platform for the consummation of his perceived presidential ambition. Yet another area of concern was the objection raised by Lam Adesina that the likes of Chief Ganiyu Dawodu, who had defected from the party, should not have participated in the deliberations on how to resolve the crisis. 

“Of course, there is no way Dawodu and others would be impartial going by their long drawn battle with Asiwaju,” says Lateef Raji, Lagos State secretary of the party. Of course, Dawodu had a grouse against Tinubu and would want to, as he has always argued, deny the governor the opportunity of using the party to negotiate his post-2007 political future.

Not even the intervention of the Yoruba leader, Senator Abraham Adesanya, could force the factions to come to a roundtable and find ways to end the crisis.

The make or mar convention

So, as the party’s future remain bleak and with the hope for a reunion tickling slowly away, today’s convention will either make or mar the existence of AD as a viable force in the democratic process. Some members have even suggested that the two faction leaders should give way for a consensus candidate. “I believe very strongly that the duo are not the only credible leadership materials in the South West. There are many prospective party leaders all over the place,” says Chief Niyi Afuye, one of the 24 “wise men” invited by Adesanya to resolve the crisis.

Meanwhile, Akinfenwa and his group have maintained that the convention is a needless one, while calling on its members to shun it. “It is important for the members to stay away from the convention under the Akande/Tinubu group because such exercise would be in futility and just a waste of time, money and energy,” the faction said in a statement.

As it is, the convention has the backing of Koleoso, who took over from Abdulkadir. But it is not quite clear how this would be received by INEC. The stakes are high, but it is a forgone conclusion that the forces behind the crisis have not gone to sleep.

Will INEC recognise today’s convention?

As stated earlier, it was INEC that asked the AD to unite before October 31 or risk the possibility of not being recognised as a party. With Koleoso said to have backed today’s convention, coupled with widespread concern for peace to return, the expectation is that INEC would endorse the outcome of the exercise.

But, politics in Nigeria is not known to be that simplistic. Interests are bound to play out different shades and colours. In which case, we may expect a new twist to the brouhaha. Already, Akinfenwa’s faction has stated that it was staying away for the simple fact that the electoral body would not give its blessing to today’s convention, a hint that it may be working in tandem with certain persons high up in the INEC hierarchy.

However, there is no doubt that the role of INEC would be critical in resolving the crisis. Indeed, there can be no hope of early return of peace if the commission fails to send observers to the convention. After all, it was the failure of INEC in sending its officials to monitor either conventions in Lagos or Abuja last year that gave rise to this festering crisis.

If Dr Abel Guobadia were truly sincere in seeing an end to the imbroglio, the least that would be expected from him would be to see to it that credibility is given to today’s exercise. Unless of course he is convinced that the Akinfenwa group has legitimacy. Again, it would be better to take a decision one way or the other. But, it would be doubtful if the Akinfenwa group would get the due recognition since those elected on the platform of the AD have thrown their weight behind the Akande faction.

Yet, INEC must act since it has the ace to lay to rest the ghost of this present crisis. Now is the time to act. Will it do so or watch AD descend to nothingness and permanent inertia? The weeks ahead would tell how the pendulum would swing.


Copyright� 2004. All Rights Reserved.
Independent Newspapers Limited
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